I’ve been dealing with a new job, a new puppy and my upcoming wedding, but it doesn’t mean I’m out on The Academy Awards, I still have a pretty good idea at what and who will win, and who will be left in the cold.

The 2013/2014 Oscar season has seemed like the longest one in a long while, serious Oscar talk seemed to have started back in August, when Lee Daniels’ The Butler opened. The race took on a lot of steam when Gravity was released in October, and didn’t let up from that point on. 
I’ll do my best to predict which films and actors will win, but many categories aren’t all that easy to predict. While some categories like Best Actress and Best Supporting Actor are sure locks, the Best Picture race and lead actor category could go almost anywhere. 
Buckle up, bear with me, and let’s dig into the mess that is this years Oscar nominees… and my predictions:
Best Picture

12 Years a Slave
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
The Wolf of Wall Street

My Thoughts: 12 Years a Slave has been the front runner for a while now, while Gravity and American Hustle have done their best to try and bring it down. Although there has been chatter about some, in my opinion stupid, Academy voters who won’t watch 12 Years a Slave because of it’s brutality. I Think 12YAS still has enough punch in it to win. 

Will Win: 12 Years a Slave
Should Win: 12 Years a Slave
Could Win: Gravity
Should be Here: All is Lost, Short Term 12

Best Actor

Christian Bale (American Hustle)
Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Wolf of Wall Street)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (12 Years a Slave)
Matthew McConaughey (Dallas Buyers Club)

My Thoughts: It’s the tightest trace, and the hardest category to predict this year. McConaughey, Ejiofor, and DiCaprio seem to be neck in neck, and they’re all deserving. Personally, I think this is the year DiCaprio should win, The Wolf of Wall Street is probably one of his best movies, if not his best, and shouldn’t we celebrate an actor at his best? Instead of 10 years later, for some mediocre movie, because we feel bad we didn’t give it to him previously? 
Will Win: Mattew McConaughey
Should Win: Leonardo DiCaprio 
Could Win: Chiwetel Ejiofor
Should be Here: Rober Redford (All is Lost), Mad Mikkelson (The Hunt), Tom Hanks (Captain Phillips), Oscaar Isaac (Inside Llewyn Davis), Michael B. Jordan (Fruitvale Station
Best Actress

Amy Adams (American Hustle)
Cate Blanchett (Blue Jasmine)
Sandra Bullock (Gravity)
Judi Dench (Philomena)
Meryl Streep (August: Osage County)

My Thoughts: This category isn’t hard to predict at all, Cate Blanchett has it in the bag, and she deserves it. Amy Adams, her only real competition, is definitely deserving of an Oscar, but not this time. I think Adams still had her best performance in her. 
Will Win: Cate Blanchett
Should Win: Cate Blanchett
Could Win: Amy Adams
Should be Here: Adele Exarchopoulos (Blue is the Warmest Color), Bernice Bejo (The Past), Brie Larson (Short Term 12), Greta Gerwig (Frances Ha
Best Supporting Actor

Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Jonah Hill (Wolf of Wall Street)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

My Thoughts: Jared better have his speech ready! In a fairly weak year for Best Supporting Actor, Jared Leto shines as the transgender AIDS patient Rayon. His only competition, Michael Fassbender, hasn’t had the buzz Leto has, and probably can’t secure a win. 
Will Win: Jared Leto
Should Win: Jared Leto
Could Win: Michael Fassbender
Should be Here: Daniel Bruhl (Rush), Jake Gyllenhaal (Prisoners), Thomas Bo Larsen (The Hunt
Best Supporting Actress

Jennifer Lawrence (American Hustle)
Lupita Nyong’o (12 Years a Slave)
Julia Roberts (August: Osage County)
June Squibb (Nebraska)
Sally Hawkins (Blue Jasmine)

My Thoughts: My thoughts and prayers are with Lupita Nyong’o here, even if I get every other prediction wrong, and Lupita wins, I’ll still be happy. If she loses, and the undeserving Jennifer Lawrence takes the prize, I will be furious. Don’t get me wrong, I love Jennifer Lawrence, but her role in American Hustle was out of place, and not nearly as good as 12 Years a Slaves Patsy. 
Will Win: Lupita Nyong’o
Should Win: Lupita Nyong’o
Could Win: Jennifer Lawrence
Should be Here: Oprah Winfrey (The Butler), Scarlett Johansson (Her
Best Director

Martin Scorsese (The Wolf of Wall Street
David O. Russell (American Hustle)
Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity)
Alexander Payne (Nebraska)
Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)

My Thoughts: All the boys here are deserving (except maybe Alexander Payne) but it’s either Alfonso Cuarón or Steve McQueen who will win the gold. I think I’m rooting for McQueen a tiny bit more than  Cuarón, but I’ll be happy if either of these newcomers win. 
Will Win: Alfonso Cuarón
Should Win: Steve McQueen
Could Win: Steve McQueen 
Should be Here: Paul Greengrass (Captain Phillips), J.C. Chandor (All is Lost), Spike Jonze (Her
Best Adapted Screenplay

John Ridley (12 Years a Slave)
Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke & Richard Linklater (Before Midnight)
Terence Winter (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Billy Ray (Captain Phillips)

Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope (Philomena)
Will Win: John Ridley (12 Years a Slave)
Should Win: John Ridley (12 Years a Slave
Could Win: Terrence Winter (The Wolf of Wall Street)
Best Original Screenplay

David O. Russell and Eric Singer (American Hustle)
Bob Nelson (Nebraska)
Spike Jonze (Her)
Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack (Dallas Buyers Club)
Woody Allen (Blue Jasmine)

Will Win: Spike Jonze (Her)
Should Win: Spike Jonze (Her
Could Win: David O. Russell and Eric Singer (American Hustle)
Best Foreign Film

Denmark, The Hunt
Belgium, The Broken Circle Breakdown
Italy, The Great Beauty
Palestine, Omar
Cambodia, The Missing Picture

Will Win: The Great Beauty
Should Win: The Hunt
Could Win: The Hunt

Best Documentary Feature

20 Feet from Stardom
The Act of Killing
Dirty Wars
The Square
Cutie and the Boxer 

Will Win: 20 Feet From Stardom

Should Win: The Act of Killing
Could Win: The Act of Killing
Should be here: Blackfish, Stories We Tell

Best Animated Feature

The Wind Rises
Despicable Me 2

The Croods
Ernest & Celestine

Will Win: Frozen
Should Win: Frozen
Could Win: The Wind Rises
Should be here: Turbo, Monsters University

Film Editing

American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
12 Years a Slave

Will Win: Gravity 
Should Win: Gravity
Could Win: American Hustle
Should be here: Her

Best Song
“Alone Yet Not Alone” (Alone Yet Not Alone)
“Happy” (Despicable Me 2)
Let It Go” (Frozen)

“The Moon Song” (Her)
“Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)

Will Win: 

Let It Go” (Frozen)

Should Win: 

“Let It Go” (Frozen)

Could Win: 

“Ordinary Love” (Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom)
Should be here: Anything from Inside Llewyn Davis

Best Original Score

John Williams (The Book Thief)
Steven Price (Gravity)
Alexandre Desplat (Philomena)
Thomas Newman (Saving Mr. Banks)
William Butler and Owen Pallett (Her)

Will Win: Steven Price (Gravity)
Should Win: Steven Price (Gravity)

Could Win: Alexandre Desplat (Philomena

Best Cinematography

Philippe Le Sourd (The Grandmaster)
Emmanuel Lubezki (Gravity)
Bruno Delbonnel (Inside Llewyn Davis)
Roger Deakins (Prisoners)
Phedon Papamichael (Nebraska)

Will Win: Emmanuel Lubezki (Gravity)

Should Win: Emmanuel Lubezki (Gravity)

Could Win: Roger Deakins (Prisoners)

Costume Design

American Hustle
The Grandmaster
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
12 Years A Slave 

Will Win: American Hustle

Should Win: American Hustle

Could Win: The Great Gatsby

Makeup and Hairstyling

The Lone Ranger
Dallas Buyers Club
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

Will Win: Dallas Buyers Club
Should Win: Dallas Buyers Club
Could Win: Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa

Production Design

American Hustle
The Great Gatsby

12 Years a Slave

Will Win: The Great Gatsby
Should Win: The Great Gatsby
Could Win: American Hustle

Sound Editing

All is Lost
Captain Phillips
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

Will Win: Gravity 
Should Win: All is Lost

Could Win: Captain Phillips 
Should be here: Rush

Sound Mixing

Captain Phillips
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor
Inside Llewyn Davis

Will Win: Gravity 
Should Win: Gravity
Could Win: Lone Survivor
Should be here: Rush

Visual Effects

The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

Will Win: Gravity 
Should Win: Gravity
Could Win: Gravity

Short Film, Live Action
Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me)
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything)
Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
The Voorman Problem

Will Win: Helium
Should Win: Helium
Could Win: The Voorman Problem

Short Film, Animated
Get a Horse!
Mr. Hublot
Room on the Broom

Will Win: Get a Horse!
Should Win: Mr. Hublot
Could Win: Mr. Hublot

Documentary Short Subject
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall

Will Win: The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Should Win: The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Could Win: Karama Has No Walls

Thanks for Reading,
Mitch Burns, The Hollywood Persona

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